9

Spinning Class

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 81

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/01/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/01/2024 · OR 71 par20/01C6OR 71C6 @ Gulfstream 03/03/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 79 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2024 · OR 79 parC6 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2025 · OR 81 par28/02C6OR 81C6 @ Keeneland 23/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/04/2025 · OR 83 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 10/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 84 par10/01C6OR 84C9 @ Gulfstream 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 85 parC7 @ Gulfstream 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 82 par21/03C7OR 82C9 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 126C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 80 par27/06C9OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd1
2026-04-25Laurel Park?3rd4th1
2026-03-21Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-02-19Gulfstream?2nd3rd1
2026-01-10Tampa Bay Downs?7th5th+2
2025-04-23Keeneland?9th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0123/0421/0327/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength69%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/01/20243rd9/276%78%+0.01
03/03/20243rd12/137%82%+0.45
28/02/20256th10/147%50%+0.03
23/04/20259th10/147%0%-0.47
10/01/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
19/02/20262nd13/891%88%-0.04
21/03/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
25/04/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
27/06/20261st13/891%100%+0.09