3
Celestial Body
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |