8
Lady Wisdom
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |