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3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -28.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |