3
He's Got This
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |