4
High Tide
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 66
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 12/04/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 15/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |