Interlock Empire
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 96
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |