1

Pineapple Man

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/06/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark16/06/2024 · OR 86 par16/06C8OR 86C8 @ Aqueduct 21/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark21/02/2025 · OR 84 parC8 @ Aqueduct 11/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 125 · beat its mark11/04/2025 · OR 87 par11/04C8OR 87C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m Slo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Saratoga 11/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 1m1f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 82 par11/07C5OR 82C7 @ Saratoga 13/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Saratoga 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m1f 121 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 92 par18/07C8OR 92C8 @ Saratoga 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m1f 121 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Saratoga 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 79 par26/08C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Saratoga?4th3rd+1
2026-08-14Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-07-18Saratoga?8th8th0
2025-08-13Saratoga?2nd1st+1
2025-07-11Saratoga?1st-2th+3
2025-05-23Belmont At The Big A?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0623/0518/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength80%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20247th4/179%25%-0.54
21/02/20254th4/179%50%-0.29
11/04/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
23/05/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
11/07/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
13/08/20252nd7/282%75%-0.07
18/07/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
14/08/20264th3/184%57%-0.27
26/08/20264th7/163%50%-0.13