Rungius
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 96
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2024 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 05/05/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 16/05/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 28/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |