10
Apollo Code
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |