8
Gamebred
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |