Oat Coutour
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |