14
Rhyton
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength42%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |