Crazy Busted
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 58
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |