Engraved

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-06	Saratoga	?	10th	7th	+3	3.0
2026-08-19	Saratoga	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength47%

Delivery trend +8.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/08/2026	6th	9/2	76%	29%	-0.48
06/09/2026	10th	8/1	58%	18%	-0.40