14

Happy Go More

3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 70

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 74 par30/08C6OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?7th4th+3
2026-07-05Saratoga?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend +59.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
30/08/20267th16/116%33%+0.18