7

My Munny Talks

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 57

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 14/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS14/11C6C9 @ Aqueduct 02/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f 122 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 74 par2/01C9OR 74C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Fm 121 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 58 par2/05C9OR 58C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 63 par30/08C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?9th6th+3
2026-05-02Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-01-02Aqueduct?7th7th0
2025-11-14Aqueduct?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/112/012/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20257th9/276%33%-0.43
02/01/20267th3/184%0%-0.84
02/05/20263rd3/184%75%-0.09
30/08/20269th20/10%11%+0.11