5
Mykonos
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 25/01/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |