8
Richies Love
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 4/9 | 98% | 17% | -0.81 |