War Profiteer

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength73%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-05	Presque Isle Downs	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-07-15	Presque Isle Downs	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-06-29	Presque Isle Downs	?	2nd	-1th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/06/2026	2nd	2/1	89%	83%	-0.06
15/07/2026	4th	9/2	76%	25%	-0.51
05/08/2026	3rd	9/4	88%	60%	-0.28