1
Flag Officer
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 8/11 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |