2
Ragtime Scribble
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 70
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |