4
Another Fine Juba
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 53
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |