2

Playing For Two
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 55
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |