2

Playing For Two

6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 55

Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Charles Town 14/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 4f110y 124 · beat its mark14/12/2025 · OR 67 par14/12C8OR 67C8 @ Charles Town 03/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 71 · 4f110y Fas 124 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Charles Town 24/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 72 · 4f110y Fas 124 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 72 par24/01C8OR 72C8 @ Charles Town 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 69 · 4f110y 126 · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Charles Town 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 4f110y Slo 124 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 70 par21/02C8OR 70C8 @ Charles Town 28/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 68 · 4f110y Fas 126 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Charles Town 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 67 · 4f110y Fas 126 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 67 par22/03C8OR 67C8 @ Charles Town 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 4f110y 122 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Charles Town 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 72 · 4f110y Fas 124 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 72 par14/08C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Charles Town?7th7th0
2026-07-25Charles Town?5th5th0
2026-03-22Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-02-28Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-02-21Charles Town?3rd3rd0
2026-02-12Charles Town?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1212/0222/0314/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
03/01/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
24/01/20263rd11/486%78%-0.08
12/02/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
21/02/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
28/02/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
22/03/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
25/07/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
14/08/20267th12/137%0%-0.37