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5

Snitch Dorada

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 75

Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/5

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 16/03/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 68 · 5f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/03/2025 · OR 68 par16/03C6OR 68C9 @ Gulfstream 26/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 5f Fas 121 · beat its mark26/10/2025 · OR 62 parC8 @ Gulfstream 23/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 69 · 5f 123 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 69 par23/01C8OR 69C8 @ Gulfstream 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 5f Fas 126 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Charles Town 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 4f110y 124 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 75 par14/06C8OR 75C8 @ Charles Town 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 76 · 4f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Charles Town 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 126 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 73 par17/07C8OR 73C6 @ Charles Town 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 4f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Charles Town 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 4f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 75 par28/08C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Charles Town?1st-2th+3
2026-08-15Charles Town?1st-1th+2
2026-07-17Charles Town?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27Charles Town?1st1st0
2026-06-14Charles Town?2nd2nd0
2026-03-08Gulfstream?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/038/0317/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/202512th7/163%0%-0.63
26/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
23/01/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
08/03/20266th2/189%17%-0.73
14/06/20262nd4/596%80%-0.16
27/06/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
17/07/20262nd10/1195%80%-0.15
15/08/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
28/08/20261st4/596%100%+0.04