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Betty Who

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 51

Churchill Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength93%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 14/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS14/09C6C6 @ Mahoning Valley 24/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 20 · 1m Slo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/12/2025 · OR 20 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 05/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 37 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/01/2026 · OR 37 par5/01C6OR 37C6 @ Mahoning Valley 12/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 30 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 30 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 03/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 42 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 42 par3/03C6OR 42C6 @ Mahoning Valley 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 44 · 5f110y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 44 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 07/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 39 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 39 par7/04C6OR 39C9 @ Churchill Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 42 · 6f110y 125 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 42 par26/04C9OR 42projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-26Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-04-07Mahoning Valley?3rd0th+3
2026-03-17Mahoning Valley?4th1st+3
2026-03-03Mahoning Valley?2nd-1th+3
2026-02-12Mahoning Valley?4th1st+3
2026-01-05Mahoning Valley?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0912/027/0426/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/202512th50/10%0%0.00
24/12/20253rd12/137%50%+0.13
05/01/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
12/02/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
03/03/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06
17/03/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
07/04/20263rd9/153%50%-0.03
26/04/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71