2
Spin A Tune
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 99
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |