2

Booray

2yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 63

Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Monmouth Park 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f Fas 12230/08C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Monmouth Park?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18