6
Mr. Fete
2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 66
Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |