Attersee
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 94
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |