Charlie Foxtrot
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 96
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 30/03/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 04/05/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |