3

Googol Joke

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 82

Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Churchill Downs 04/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark04/06/2025 · OR 92 par4/06C8OR 92C8 @ Ellis Park 06/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark06/07/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Ellis Park 16/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m 123 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 91 par16/08C8OR 91C7 @ Churchill Downs 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m1f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 93 parC7 @ Keeneland 23/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 93 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 93 par23/10C7OR 93C8 @ Oaklawn Park 16/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 93 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark16/02/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 95 par17/05C7OR 95C7 @ Ellis Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 89 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Saratoga 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m1f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 82 par7/08C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Saratoga?6th5th+1
2026-07-25Ellis Park?4th3rd+1
2026-05-17Churchill Downs?7th6th+1
2026-02-16Oaklawn Park?1st1st0
2025-10-23Keeneland?5th4th+1
2025-09-27Churchill Downs?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0627/0917/057/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
06/07/20252nd7/163%83%+0.20
16/08/20253rd11/271%71%+0.00
27/09/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
23/10/20255th12/137%50%+0.13
16/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
17/05/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
25/07/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
07/08/20266th9/153%17%-0.36