Hicko
4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 90
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |