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14

Blanc Carat

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Compiegne · Prix De La Basse Automne Handicap · 7f 209y

#12

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12820/09C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12816/10C5C5 @ Chantilly 08/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1288/11C5C5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12821/04C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12721/05C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12811/06C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1322/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2026-06-11ParisLongchamp?6th6th0
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd0
2026-04-21Le Mans?13th13th0
2025-11-08Chantilly?8th8th0
2025-10-16Saint-Cloud?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0921/042/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20254th25/10%67%+0.67
16/10/20254th18/15%50%+0.45
08/11/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
21/04/202613th28/10%14%+0.14
21/05/20263rd28/10%87%+0.87
11/06/20266th3/184%62%-0.23
02/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09