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6

Estivale

3yo Filly · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix De La Basse Automne Handicap · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12829/03C5C5 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1285/06C5C5 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12816/07C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/08C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Clairefontaine?1st1st0
2026-07-16Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2026-06-05Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/035/0616/077/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +19.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20269th15/890%38%-0.52
05/06/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05
16/07/20263rd3/184%80%-0.04
07/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13