15

Ikotofetsy

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Compiegne · Prix De La Basse Automne Handicap · 7f 209y

#15

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12527/12C5C5 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 125C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1345/05C?1 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 124C0 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12918/06C?2 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1252 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12528/0721 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR - · 7f209y GS 113C0 @ ParisLongchamp 03/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1293/09C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03ParisLongchamp?11th11th0
2026-08-09Deauville114th14th0
2026-07-28Compiegne29th9th0
2026-07-10Compiegne28th8th0
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp?5th5th0
2026-05-31Chantilly110th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1231/0528/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20253rd11/271%71%+0.00
21/01/202610th6/168%0%-0.68
05/05/20266th25/10%62%+0.62
31/05/202610th66/10%0%0.00
18/06/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
10/07/20268th18/15%13%+0.07
28/07/20269th33/10%0%0.00
09/08/202614th80/10%32%+0.32
03/09/202611th33/10%33%+0.33