2

Persis

3yo Filly · 9-6

Compiegne · Prix De La Basse Automne Handicap · 7f 209y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 04/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1284/12C5C5 @ Pau 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 128C5 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12821/03C5C0 @ Tarbes 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 133C0 @ La Teste De Buch 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13115/05C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 133C0 @ La Teste De Buch 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13111/07C?1 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128C1 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12426/08C1projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch?8th8th0
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan15th5th0
2026-07-11La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0
2026-05-15La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-04-17Tarbes?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1217/0411/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/20253rd8/158%75%+0.17
26/12/20252nd5/287%92%+0.05
21/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
17/04/20268th4/179%22%-0.57
15/05/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49
15/06/20262nd10/382%89%+0.06
11/07/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
26/07/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
26/08/20268th33/10%36%+0.36