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7

Vanvitelli

3yo Colt · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix De La Basse Automne Handicap · 7f 209y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 22/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12822/01C5C5 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12820/02C5C5 @ Compiegne 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12827/03C5C5 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12825/04C52 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12510/0722 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12528/072C0 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12530/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-28Compiegne25th5th0
2026-07-10Compiegne27th7th0
2026-04-25Compiegne?1st1st0
2026-03-27Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2026-02-20Chantilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0125/0430/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/01/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
20/02/20266th11/893%50%-0.43
27/03/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
25/04/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
10/07/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
28/07/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
30/08/20263rd14/126%86%+0.59