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3

Victoria Colonia

3yo Filly · 9-5

Compiegne · Prix De La Basse Automne Handicap · 7f 209y

#6

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12822/04C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 07/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1287/05C5C5 @ Evreux 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12426/05C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12521/06C?3 @ Vittel 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12919/073C0 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 13230/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville?1st1st0
2026-07-19Vittel32nd2nd0
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0
2026-05-26Evreux?6th6th0
2026-05-07Le Lion D'angers?9th9th0
2026-04-22Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/047/0526/0521/0619/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20264th15/261%63%+0.02
07/05/20269th9/153%38%-0.14
26/05/20266th5/174%55%-0.19
21/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
19/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
30/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16