1
Dorado
3yo Colt · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix Du Berval Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-07-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -13.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |