6

Emerald Angel

3yo Filly · 8-12

Compiegne · Prix Du Berval Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

32%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1237/08C5C5 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1241/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-07Clairefontaine?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +77.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
01/09/20262nd33/10%90%+0.90