5
L'annonciade
3yo Filly · 8-12
Compiegne · Prix Du Berval Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |