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2

Sayville

3yo Colt · 9-2

Compiegne · Prix Du Berval Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12822/04C5C8 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12812/05C8C5 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1282/06C5C5 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12813/07C5C5 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12828/07C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Dieppe?5th5th0
2026-06-02Saint-Cloud?7th7th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?3rd7th−4
2026-04-22Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0412/052/0613/0728/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20264th50/10%67%+0.67
12/05/20263rd16/116%82%+0.66
02/06/20267th7/163%33%-0.30
13/07/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
28/07/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59