6
Les Trois Vallees
6yo Gelding · 10-0
Compiegne · Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap Challenge · 1m 208y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 12/05/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |