10
Noble Angel
8yo Mare · 9-8
Compiegne · Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap Challenge · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 31% | -0.40 |
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/05/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |