7
The Wasp
4yo Filly · 9-13
Compiegne · Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap Challenge · 1m 208y
#9
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Amiens | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 18/08/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 21/09/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/10/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 19/10/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |