7
Alyaqut
5yo Filly · 8-8
Compiegne · Prix De Blerancourt Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 70% | -0.16 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 13/08/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 10/09/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |