6
Lady Achillia
4yo Filly · 8-13
Compiegne · Prix De Blerancourt Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-11-14 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-08-18 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-07-07 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/04/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 07/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 18/08/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 24/10/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.09 |
| 14/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |