3

Lady Madeleine

4yo Filly · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix De Blerancourt Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 23/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12523/11C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 08/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 128C5 @ Saint-Cloud 12/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f90y Ver 12412/09C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 1243 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12712/0433 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1303 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12828/0633 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1323 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1384/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly35th5th0
2026-07-19Chantilly32nd2nd0
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud32nd2nd0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp32nd2nd0
2026-04-12ParisLongchamp32nd2nd0
2026-03-13Fontainebleau?3rd5th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1113/0328/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength75%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20247th6/168%25%-0.43
08/08/202510th40/10%31%+0.31
12/09/20253rd28/10%85%+0.85
13/03/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
12/04/20262nd9/153%92%+0.40
07/05/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
28/06/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08
19/07/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
04/09/20265th3/184%67%-0.18