IvyArcIvyArc
2

Milena

4yo Filly · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix De Blerancourt Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f100y Hvy 12813/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 12421/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1285/02C54 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 1206/084C5 @ Vichy 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12419/08C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Vichy?1st3rd−2
2026-08-06Les Sables44th5th−1
2025-02-05Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd4th−2
2025-01-21Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd5th−2
2025-01-13Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0121/015/026/0819/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20256th11/142%29%-0.14
21/01/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
05/02/20252nd11/271%86%+0.15
06/08/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
19/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16